Six Best 2020 NFL Bets: The Patriots Bottom, The Bears’ Wins Total, Long Shot MVP and More


It’s never too early to consider betting on the NFL, is it? I mean the calendar has been published (even if it is in pencil and not Sharpie) and lines are posted everywhere and there is no shortage of people looking for NFL action, so I couldn’t help but take a look.

There are definitely some lines that I find attractive and more / less winning totals that caught my eye and at least one long-term bet that I could see paying off. Of course, this is still an exercise in futility – and it may be even more futile than ever to attempt this mid-pandemic with the whole of 2020 shrouded in uncertainty – but it is. anyway. Because heaven knows we need something to wait on the other side of this thing, and if there are football games to play, I suspect that the bets will be at an all time high. William Hill Sports Book has provided the latest odds.

Steelers -3.5 at Giants

The Giants are not going to be a good football team. They have a long way to go and this should be a particularly worrisome match for week 1. The Giants should theoretically be better in attack than in defense, but Mike Tomlin has a solid six-month game plan for Daniel Jones and Co., with the same loaded defense background as Pittsburgh boasted a year ago (with the exception of Jovan Hargrave). is going to be a problem for Joe Judge in his NFL coaching debut. The Steelers are a turnover factory and Jones has a propensity not to be able to hold on to football. The Giants’ attack line is still an issue. Saquon Barkley can only do so much. Big Ben has a dramatic push and in his first game back from an elbow surgery, I can imagine his chances of being one of the worst defenses in football. This one won’t be close (you know, if he actually played week 1).

Who is the best bet in the NFC North to exceed (or under) their expected winning total? Ryan Wilson joins Will Brinson on the Pick Six podcast to talk about total predictions, division odds and more; listen below and be sure to subscribe to the daily goodness of the NFL.

Eagles -6.5 at Redskins

This reinforced secondary will be much improved and the Eagles now have too much attacking talent to fail, having strengthened the catcher position. Carson Wentz is starting his MVP campaign here, right now (more on that later). Yes, Skins have a front of 7 nails on paper … but this secondary is still a problem. Dwayne Haskins will at best likely have a truncated training camp to try to learn another new offense for his third head coach, and will try to do so with what is arguably the worst skill position skill in the NFL. Even with this improved defense, the Skins will catch a lot of low hits in 2020.

Chargers over 7.5 wins

I do not see how this defense will not be among the top five in football. There shouldn’t be much that Gus Bradley can do to counter this. Talent is off the charts. Everything looks healthy on that side of the ball and it’s a very competitive football team. They have continuity at key positions on the field and in the coaching area, and the absence of an off-season should not affect them as much as other teams. And they finally have a QB that will absolutely not positively return the ball. Tyrod Taylor has already had less talented playoff training and he could do it again in 2020. Ether way, that should be a .500 team. Suppress all of Philip Rivers’ hero turnover and ball throwing a year ago and they’re probably a .500 team. Great skill position players. Yeah, I wish they had a left tackle but I think the rest of the offensive line is fine. (Sign Jason Peters already). They actually have the option of playing in a real home football stadium this year (assuming all games are played in California, that is). The stadium situation is the only thing that gives me a break – because moving to a neutral location all season would not be ideal – but either way, it should be an outfit capable of winning eight games, and potentially a lot more.

Bear under 8.5 wins

The Bears projected for more wins than the Chargers seem ridiculous to me. Chicago has a huge problem at QB, has lacked all kinds of big boy offenses for a while, has acted out of desperation this offseason and the defense has been waning since its peak under Vic Fangio. You couldn’t watch the Bears play last year and think they were a winning football team. You cannot look at this list now and see the marked improvements. I expect them to finish last in their division and I would not be shocked to see them chosen among the top five next year. Everyone is basically trying to keep their jobs. I don’t see that it works really well for them. They can beat the Giants. They can beat the Panthers (I guess, even if I wouldn’t lean that way). Could they beat the Jags in December? Sure. Take the Texans out at home? K. But I find it hard to see a path over five wins, let alone eight.

Patriots under 9 wins

Did I miss something? Tom Brady and Gronk are in Tampa now, right? And Kyle Van Noy and Jamie Collins followed Trey Flowers out the door the year before, right? And as far as I think the Pats could be on something to Jarrett Stidham, he hasn’t started a game in the NFL yet and replaces a GOAT without a major receiver upgrade and Sony Michel remains the main backseat? And Edleman at what age now? Look, Bill Belichick and Josh McDaniels are some of the best in what they do, and I’m confident they’ll get the Patriots back to winning, but it will take some time. I am looking at this list and I find it hard to see them as a winning team let alone triumph 10 times. They reached that total and Belichick had better get the Coach of the Year award. It would be his best job. They lack natural passes and the offense was terrible last year with Brady. I don’t see 10 wins here.

Carson Wentz 25-1 for MVP

If I had something extra burning a hole in my sweatpants (let’s face it, who’s wearing something other than these or shorts these days?) I would send it that way. Wentz has been in this conversation in the past, and was also thriving at the end of last season, only for having conspired against him. But this cannot happen every year. The Eagles have put another solid cast around him, I like the way the schedule is set and as awesome as Lamar Jackson will be again, rehearsals in this category are tough. Wentz and Russell Wilson are the two choices under the radar here that I like, but I went with Wentz because the people who vote for the MVP seem to forget that Wilson is in the league every year and the anti-Wilson bias is too difficult to ignore (it should be among the 3 to 5 best voters each year … but it is not). If you’re not going to chalk, then take a flyer on Wentz.


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