What there is to know
- Nearly 34,000 people in the Tri-State region died from COVID-19, although officials admit that the actual toll is likely higher; other indicators such as infection rate and total hospitalizations continue to decline slowly
- New York Governor Andrew Cuomo’s PAUSE order expires Friday; three regions meet its criteria to start reopening. Blasio Mayor Doesn’t Expect Non-Essential Business To Reopen In New York Before June
- The New Jersey closure order will also expire May 15; Governor Phil Murphy hopes to have “hard dates” to share when it reopens later this week
New Jersey Governor Phil Murphy is expected to detail the main elements of the road to reopening his state on Tuesday, while three New York regions are about to begin their economic recovery when Governor of Andrew Cuomo ” PAUSE ”will arise Friday.
Murphy said he hoped to have “difficult dates” to share on the reopening schedule later this week, but added “don’t hold on to it”, saying his condition may not be ready to start reopening when its closing order will expire on May 15. .
In New York, the Mohawk Valley area, the south, and the Finger Lakes will be the first to open, meeting the seven parameters that Cuomo requires them to reach before moving forward. On Friday, central New York and North County regions have a chance to meet targets, all linked in some way to infection rate and capacity (hospitals, tests, search for contacts and isolation).
New York is halfway there, by Cuomo standards. While reaching milestones in testing, total hospitalizations and hospital deaths, the five boroughs are still experiencing too many new daily hospitalizations. Only 55 people were newly admitted to hospitals in the latest daily report, said Mayor Bill de Blasio on Monday. But the metrics are based on a three-day moving average, and although New York has had a number of good days recently, it needs to go further.
The city also needs to make more hospital and intensive care beds available. Currently, more than 70% of these are used. Cuomo says that at least 30 percent of each need must remain open to ensure the system can handle any viral resurgence that may emerge as regions take their first steps.
Regions are also expected to experience a decline in the three-day moving average of hospital deaths over a 14-day period. New York City has encountered this, said Cuomo. It may be the simplest measure of mortality, but the mortality rate is much more complicated.
Status region by region
New York City is on the brink of a dark stage of 20,000 dead. There are 5,128 probable deaths from the virus – cases where death certificates mention COVID-19 or equivalent as the cause despite no diagnostic test – as well as 14,693 confirmed by the state. A few weeks ago, the city decided to include probable deaths in its balance sheet, in accordance with CDC guidelines which recognize that many people die at home without having been tested for the virus.
This, Blasio said, was the only explanation for a peak of nearly 400% of “cardiac arrest” home deaths between March 20 and April 5, as New York neared the peak of the crisis. , during the same period last year.
Even that may not fully grasp the magnitude of the New York pandemic tragedy. A new CDC report finds that an additional 5,293 “excess” deaths in New York have not been confirmed as COVID-19 or even possibly linked to the virus, which can still be attributed in one way or another.
The 5,293 deaths represent 22 percent of the 24,172 “excess” deaths – those above the typical baseline – that the city experienced between mid-March and May 2, the CDC said.
The agency’s report highlights the discordant sense of uncertainty that has millions of New Yorkers as fearful as they are eager to resume a more normal daily life. As people tentatively begin to open their minds to post-crisis possibilities, disturbing new information about this mysteriously adaptable virus is pausing.
For example, asymptomatic people can transmit it. Immunity to antibodies has not been proven. The virus may not spare children widely, as previously believed. Instead, it can manifest itself in a much more discreet and potentially deadly way. Nearly 100 cases of a new pediatric inflammatory syndrome possibly linked to COVID-19 have been identified in New York. Up to five children have died.
On Monday, New York State confirmed 21,640 deaths from the virus, just four of those children nine and under. New Jersey confirmed 9,310 deaths from COVID-19, losing its youngest victim, a 4-year-old girl, to the virus last week. Connecticut’s death toll overshadowed 3,000 on Monday.
More than half a million infections have been confirmed in the Tri-State region, although the virus has likely made many who have never been tested much sicker. New York State has reported 337,055 cases of the virus to date, including nearly 190,000 in New York. New Jersey and Connecticut had 139,945 and 33,765 cases, respectively, according to the latest reports from their governors.
Nationally, the virus has killed nearly 82,000 people and infected nearly 1.4 million people. Dr. Anthony Fauci, the country’s foremost infectious disease specialist, is expected to publicly warn America on Tuesday that reopening it too soon will cause “unnecessary suffering and death.” Fauci is currently under quarantine after contact with a person whose test is positive and is expected to testify remotely before a Senate committee on Tuesday.
This comes as the already catastrophic economic and psychological costs of the pandemic continue to rise. The pandemic alone is expected to cost $ 35 billion; Cuomo says schools, hospitals and local governments face 20 percent budget cuts without a windfall of federal aid. The state has distributed nearly $ 6 billion in unemployment assistance in the past two months, while tens of millions of Americans have filed for unemployment.
Murphy, who says his condition is also facing an insurmountable deficit without immediate and direct federal assistance, said time was running out.
“A fiscal disaster is not in a few months – tough decisions will be on our doorstep in a few weeks,” Murphy said on Monday. “Congress must act now. This fight is not over, and I will do everything I can to see that it is won. “