An internal report from the Trump administration expects about 200,000 cases a day by June.
The sprawling Jacob K. Javits Convention Center in New York, hastily converted to a hospital this winter, closed, and serving soldiers were redeployed. A temporary marshalling unit in Central Park will soon be folding its tents, and the Navy ship that has run to help the besieged hospitals in the city has left.
The most disastrous assessments reflect the decisions of governors across the country to mitigate measures of social distancing even as the number of new cases remains stable and, in some cases, is even increasing.
The projections, based on data collected by various agencies, including the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, and presented in an internal document obtained Monday by the New York Times, predicted about 200,000 new cases per day in late May, against about 30,000 cases currently. There are currently around 1,750 deaths a day, according to the data.
It was not the only forecast of more carnage. Another model, closely watched by White House officials, raised its death forecast Monday to more than 134,000 US deaths in early August from Covid-19, the disease caused by the coronavirus. The model, from the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation at the University of Washington, more than doubled its previous projection of about 60,000 total deaths, an increase that he says partly reflects “changes in policy mobility and social distancing ”.
“There are still a large number of counties whose burdens continue to grow,” said the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.
Fifteen children, many of whom had fallen ill with coronavirus, have recently been hospitalized in New York for a mysterious syndrome that doctors do not yet fully understand but which has also been reported in several European countries, health officials announced on Monday evening.
Many children, ages 2 to 15, have experienced symptoms associated with toxic shock or Kawasaki disease, a rare disease in children that involves inflammation of blood vessels, including the coronary arteries, said the city’s health department.
Reached late Monday evening, state health commissioner Dr. Howard A. Zucker said state officials were also investigating the unexplained illness.
Last week, an alert was sent to general practitioners in London to warn that “there has been an apparent increase in the number of children of all ages with a multisystem inflammatory condition requiring intensive care in London and others regions of the United Kingdom ‘.
England’s chief medical officer Chris Whitty told reporters that a link to the coronavirus was “certainly plausible”.
Asked about the British reports, Dr Maria Van Kerkhove, scientist from the World Health Organization, told reporters last week that the inflammatory syndrome “appears to be rare.”
“There are some rare recent descriptions of children in some European countries who have had this inflammatory syndrome, which is similar to Kawasaki syndrome, but it seems to be very rare,” she said.
New York City health commissioner Dr. Oxiris Barbot said in a statement: “Although the relationship of this syndrome with Covid-19 is not yet defined, and not all of these cases have tested positive for Covid-19 by DNA test or serology, the clinical nature of this virus is such that we ask all providers to contact us immediately if they see patients who meet the criteria we have defined. “
“And to the parents,” she added, “if your child has symptoms like fever, rashes, abdominal pain, or vomiting, call your doctor right away.”
While the hardest-hit regions of the United States have seen the number of new infections decline and hospital admissions drop after strict social distancing measures are put in place, the country is still in the grip of a pandemic.
For each indication of an improvement in the fight against the virus, new outbreaks have appeared elsewhere, offering a constant and relentless progression of deaths and infections.
Julie Bosman, Mitch Smith and Amy Harmon report that any idea that the threat of the coronavirus is fading seems to be a magical thought, at odds with what the latest figures show.
In the United States, coronavirus now looks like this: more than a month has passed since there has been a day with less than 1,000 deaths from the virus. Almost every day at least 25,000 new cases of coronavirus are identified, which means that the total in the United States – which has the largest number of known cases in the world with more than a million – increases by 2 to 4% per day.
Rural towns that were free from a month ago are suddenly hotspots for the virus. It is unleashed in nursing homes, meat packing plants and prisons, killing the medically vulnerable and the poor, and new epidemics continue to appear in grocery stores, supermarkets or factories, a harbinger of what a full reopening of the economy could bring.
California Governor Gavin Newsom said on Monday that the state would allow certain stores to reopen on Friday and that, if the counties wanted to, they could loosen the restrictions further as long as they took precautions.
Newsom, a Democrat, said that among the businesses that could reopen Friday, with modifications, were clothing stores, bookstores, florists and sporting goods stores, as well as manufacturing companies that supply these stores.
The announcement was a cautious step toward removing some of the toughest restrictions California has placed on daily life. Dozens of states – largely led by those with republican governors – have unrestricted restrictions designed to slow the spread of the coronavirus.
“This is a very positive sign, and it only happened for one reason,” said Newsom. said at a press conference. “The data indicates that it can happen. “
Store owners will only be allowed to open on Fridays if they change their workplace, and they must impose social distancing. Newsom added that more details on the required changes would be released on Thursday.
The governor also said that if local health officials and county governments certify that they are ready to restart, they will be able to open restaurants and other hotel businesses, with modifications. The counties are expected to submit plans to the public health agency and would be released to the public.
The two beaches, said Newsom, have “put in place an exceptional reopening plan” with modifications.
the The 9:30 am hearing will be unusual, with a measure of social distancing imposed. Few legislators normally choose to sit during the entirety of a confirmation hearing, but senators were given time slots to get to the courtroom. No more than six lawmakers are expected to be in the room at the same time, a dynamic that could affect the pace of questioning.
This time, Mr. Ratcliffe seems likely to receive a warmer welcome, at least from the Republican legislators who control the Senate. Senators want a permanent director to oversee the 17 agencies that make up the intelligence community as they struggle to understand how the origins and impact of Covid-19, at home and abroad.
A fundraising conference organized by the European Union on Monday brought together commitments from countries around the world – including Australia, Canada, Japan and Norway – to fund laboratories that have promising leads in the development and production of a coronavirus vaccine.
Prime Ministers, a king, a prince and Madonna have all contributed $ 8 billion to fund research, but President Trump has jumped the chance to contribute. Administration officials noted that the United States was injecting billions of dollars into his own efforts.
For more than three hours, one by one, world leaders said a few words via video link and offered their nations, large and small, everything they could muster. For Romania, it was $ 200,000. For Canada, $ 850 million. The main contributors were the European Union and Norway, each with one billion euros, or 1.1 billion dollars.
The details of how the money raised will be distributed remain to be settled. The European Commission, the executive arm of the European Union that led the initiative, said the money would be spent over the next two years to support promising initiatives around the world. The ultimate goal is to provide universal and affordable access to medicines to fight Covid-19, the disease caused by the coronavirus.
Trump administration officials sought to discuss U.S. contributions to coronavirus vaccination efforts worldwide on Monday in Washington, but did not explain the absence of the U.S. at the conference through Europe.
The US government has spent money on vaccine research and development, including $ 2.6 billion through the Biomedical Advanced Research and Development Authority, a branch of the Department of Health and Human Services. Jim Richardson, director of foreign aid for the State Department, said US companies have also provided $ 7 billion to date for a coronavirus vaccine and treatment.
The United States was not the only major power to be absent from the teleconference. Russia also did not participate.
China, the virus’s country of origin, was represented by its ambassador to the European Union and made no financial promises.
The country has cut red tape and provided resources to pharmaceutical companies in an effort to empower the vaccine industry. And four Chinese companies have started testing their vaccine candidates on humans, more than the combined number in the United States and Britain.
On a recent evening in Rutherfordton, North Carolina, Beth Revis went to the parking lot of a closed elementary school and connected to the building’s free Wi-Fi. She then gave a two-hour writing class from her driver’s seat.
Ms. Revis held a flashlight over her face with one hand and a selfie stick with her smartphone attached in the other, looking at the device to talk to her students.
Getting the Internet in her area has always been a headache, said Revis. “But during the pandemic,” she said, “it went from a slight inconvenience to near impossibility. “
“I hope there is a lesson to be learned,” said Gina Millsap, executive director of the Topeka and Shawnee County public library in Kansas. “Broadband is like water and electricity now, and yet it is still treated as a luxury. “
One in four Americans does not have high-speed Internet access at home, according to the Pew Research Center, either because it’s too expensive, or because they live in a rural area with limited service. Some use their smartphone data plans for broadband Internet access, but these plans are often insufficient to manage work from home and from a distance.
A few days a week, a woman arrives at the Metropolitan Plant and Flower Exchange – a bunker along Highway 17 North in Paramus, New Jersey. They know her by her scrubs at the hospital.
She takes her standing order – the yellow daffodils – and brings them with her to work at Hackensack University Medical Center.
They are not for his office nor for his colleagues. She brings them back and enters a parking lot. There are now three long trailers out there, with powerful motors powering their refrigerators. Inside each trailer are bodies in bags, stacked on shelves, three victims of coronavirus awaiting pickup.
The woman’s name is Tanisha Brunson-Malone, and she is a forensic technician at the hospital morgue who performs autopsies and supervises collections at the funeral home for deceased patients. And she entered each trailer, traversing the aisles between the rows and placing a flower on each new body bag.
Mrs. Brunson-Malone’s gesture is almost invisible, seen only by certain colleagues and funeral home workers who arrive to claim the bodies. Its flowers are for the dead alone, an ephemeral brush with dignity and decorum on the way from one sad place to another.
Before, she opened the trailers every day and saw how many people died alone. So she decided to give them a more dignified shipment. She said she spent $ 100 a week on flowers.
“I was kind of like their voice,” she said, “because they were speechless.”
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In China, bereaved survivors want answers but authorities keep them quiet. Government represses relatives of victims, as well as activists, who call on the ruling Communist Party to report on what happened in Wuhan, the city where the coronavirus killed thousands of people before spreading through the country and the rest of the world.
The reports were provided by Sheryl Gay Stolberg, Eileen Sullivan, Jesse McKinley, Joseph Goldstein, Marc Santora, Julian E. Barnes, Nicholas Bogel-Burroughs, Nicholas Fandos, Cecilia Kang, Matina Stevis-Gridneff, Lara Jakes, Michael Wilson, Julie Bosman, Mitch Smith, Amy Harmon and Matt Stevens.