Nicola Sturgeon has once again taken precedence over Westminster by revealing Scotland’s provisional “exit strategy” from the coronavirus lockdown.
The Prime Minister released a 27-page plan on how the release could happen north of the border, days before the Prime Minister released his “road map” on Sunday.
She said her preference was for the UK to coordinate the action, but stressed that her “overall responsibility” was to do what was good for Scotland.
The politician categorically ruled out easing draconian restrictions this week, saying the epidemic could be “slightly” stronger than in England.
Prime Minister (pictured today) released a 27-page plan on how the release could happen north of the border, days before the Prime Minister released his “road map” on Sunday
The weekly ratios for new cases and new deaths in Scotland are weekly sum ratios, plotted on a log 10 scale (photo above) on graphs provided by Health Protection Scotland
The document identifies five areas that may be the first to relax when the time comes, including changes to the message of staying at home, changes in counseling about visiting other households, resumption of care and support for those most affected by restrictions, changes in business and the possibility of schools reopening.
It also presents a four-part “road map” of the measures which, according to the Scottish Parliament, will speed up the time for lifting the restrictions.
These fall into the following categories: test, trace, isolate and support, plan to move safely to the new normal, potential for geographic variation and next steps.
Which restrictions could be relaxed first?
Tips for Staying at Home Changes
One of the most difficult changes the British have faced has been to simply stay at home.
As summer approaches and the weather warms, people desperately need to escape the trap of the home.
And in Scotland, it will be one of the first restrictions on Covid to be lifted when the time comes, the 27-page document seeks to increase opportunities for outdoor activities.
The article echoes advice from scientists that being outside poses less risk of transmitting the deadly virus than gathering inside.
Police give locking advice to people enjoying the sun in Edinburgh this month
He says, “We are looking into whether and how we could make changes to allow people to leave their homes more often and / or longer.
For those working outside, there may also be a silver lining as the Scottish Parliament seeks to see if there is evidence to lift the restrictions currently in place.
The news will come as a big boost for many Scots, but this decision has a number of caveats.
People should stay in their area and continue to socialize only with the people with whom they live.
Social distancing rules will still be in effect for other households, the additional advice being “to maintain good hygiene at all times”.
Changes to advice on visiting other households
Another difficult request for people in the past month and a half has been to stop seeing friends and family who are not living with them.
But discussions are underway as to whether the much-touted “bubble” method could be introduced when the restrictions are relaxed.
This idea will allow small groups of people to meet – the number has not been decided – from different households, but without interacting with other groups.
The plan says: “It is possible that this option is introduced first for outdoor meetings, before any change to allow meetings inside the bubble. “
One of the things the Scottish Parliament is watching closely is the rate of R transmission between people before letting them interact again. Pictured: Time required to increase R to exceed NHS capacity for different numbers of infectious people (assumes 4,250 Covid beds in Scotland
So even if it stimulates people who want to relax in the park with their friends in the sun, it still means that the prospect of relaxing in a pub is far away.
Another problem with this idea, as the document mentions, is that if a member of the group catches Covid, he will have to isolate himself for a week, while the rest of the group will have to be locked up for a fortnight.
Those most at risk of contracting the virus – the elderly and those with underlying health conditions – will not participate in the relaxation of this restriction.
The Scottish Parliament admits: “We recognize that this will become increasingly difficult as the boards change for other people.
“We commit to an honest conversation with our fellow citizens who protect and with their families about the support they need, the evidence of the risks they face and the maintenance of a quality of life while protecting.”
Resumption of care and support for vulnerable people
As hospitals began to transform normal services into ICUs worthy of Covid, there was a terrifying thought that there would be no way to protect those suffering from other illnesses.
Huge amounts of NHS and community support services have stopped as doctors have focused their attention on the raging pandemic.
However, in Scotland, senior officials are studying how and when they can bring these resources to life, “as long as it can be done safely and without unacceptable risk”.
As hospitals began to transform normal services into ICUs worthy of Covid, there was a terrifying thought that there would be no way to protect people with other illnesses (photo, day ratios of the week for the occupation of hospitals and the ICU)
The focus is on the restart of NHS Scotland’s elective procedures and testing services, which will bring relief to many whose operations had to be canceled after a coronavirus was struck.
There will also be the gradual reintroduction of a wider range of social support services such as therapeutic group activities when the time is right to ease the lockdown.
The document says it is examining how these can be brought up in a fair and ethical manner, adding that some groups will be at the center of concerns.
The article notes that people living with cancer, or the elderly and disabled and their caregivers – who saw services decline or stop during the epidemic – will be targeted.
Restarting and operation of businesses
Companies of all sizes have been beaten by the shutdown of the coronavirus, with an impressive 27 million workers estimated to have been put on leave by companies.
The future of these people should remain positive, as they are expected to join their business when the country recovers.
But for many, the outlook is much bleaker, as sections of the workplace have been forced to close due to restrictions in place, with workers being laid off by the thousands.
The document states that before any decision is made to change the corporate foreclosure, the way people operate in the workplace will first be considered to assess the public health impact.
But in a nod to employers, the document notes, “We will engage and work with businesses and unions to support the reopening of certain workplaces as soon as possible, but only when it is safe.
“It will be based on a solid policy framework that supports safe work and is consistent with our approach to fair work.”
The workers who may be the first to return to work are those in construction, manufacturing and retail, because for these industries, working from home was much more difficult.
With more people heading to work, a secondary problem for bosses and politicians is the transportation system and how to ensure social distancing.
The 27-page plan indicates that this will be reviewed, but does not go into detail.
In a blow to some, the document adds that it is clear that restrictions will still be placed on certain business activities “for a period of time,” and homework is likely to remain part of the “new normal.”
Options for allowing students to return to school
The fact that the kids run around the house every day has been a blessing for many parents during the lockout, but for some it has been a nightmare.
For Scottish mothers and fathers who fall into this latter category, their prayers still need to be answered.
The document published by Ms. Sturgeon notes that when it is safe, there will be a gradual return to school for the students.
He doesn’t give a date, but speaking today, she said she shouldn’t be sure that June would be “safe” – instead, more likely to be hinted after summer vacation Scottish in August.
But it will be less than ideal for many children because they will not be fully reopened for “the foreseeable future,” which means that friends of different age groups may be separated.
The document published by Ms. Sturgeon notes that when it is safe, there will be a gradual return to school for students
And in another hit, the article said that Parliament “is not yet certain that they can reopen at all in the near future,” endangering the education of thousands of young people.
Deputy Prime Minister John Swinney chairs the new education stimulus group to work alongside government, local authorities, teacher unions and parent representatives.
They will examine what a phased approach to reopening schools will look like, and answer what and how it will work.
But the document states that it does not seek to know when this will happen, as the ministers decided on the basis of scientific evidence.
The Scottish Parliament is considering two main options for bringing students back to class.
The first sees them create a chronological list of priority groups who would return to school in an agreed order. It’s a nod to vulnerable students and those transitioning between schools.
The second offers a new way for schools to operate to maintain social distance between young people who tend to interact closely.
To help this, many children will have a combination of classroom instruction every few days or weeks, supplemented by home lessons supported by online materials.
‘The road map’:
Test, trace, isolate and support
Screening has been one of the main arguments surrounding the UK epidemic, with the government saying last week that more than 100,000 people are tested for the virus every day.
But a storm broke out as it emerged. Politicians counted the tests when they were sent, as well as those that were finished.
The Scottish government pledges in the document to increase testing capacity in the future.
The tests will team up with contact tracing and the continued isolation of people with Covid to eliminate the virus north of the border.
The tests will team up with contact tracing and the continued isolation of people with Covid to eliminate the virus north of the border. In the photo: a graphic of the document showing the approach to Scotland
Tracing is widely regarded in the UK as a way out of the current situation, allowing people to see when they have been around someone with symptoms of coronavirus so that they can isolate themselves.
The NHS track-and-trace app is tested on the Isle of Wight from Tuesday morning.
But the Scottish article notes that testing and tracing does not remove the virus itself.
He says: “Testing, tracing, isolation and support can only work with the support and cooperation of people across Scotland, who can be asked to donate samples for testing, to share information on their recent contacts so that people at risk of infection can be traced and tested and isolated long enough, possibly several times, to ensure that they have not contracted the virus. “
When it comes to sharing information, there has been a huge argument in England over the privacy of individuals and the fact that the government is looking to compile data in a centralized system – as opposed to the decentralized data offered by Apple and Google. .
The document adds: “Testing, tracing, isolation and support will be combined with community surveillance to help effectively suppress epidemics.”
Planning to move safely to the “new normal”
The Scottish Parliament document recognizes that the changes mentioned above will require careful planning before they can be implemented.
He says that businesses, public services and the third sector need time before they can reopen.
This is how workplaces can be adapted to social distancing, supply chains can be restored after weeks of downtime, and finances can be sorted out so that changes can be made safely.
There will be a system designed so that the government can see how the changes to the restrictions are proceeding.
Unsurprisingly, the document admits that if the changes mean that the virus transmission rate is increasing, the complete lockdown can be tightened.
Potential for geographic variation
One idea suggested for Great Britain would be to put in place the lifting of the locking restrictions in different parts of the country.
It would depend on the rate of transmission, while regions like London and the Midlands are more severely affected by the virus than others.
In Scotland, they keep an open mind about it if scientific evidence supports it as the best decision for the country.
One idea suggested for Great Britain would be to put in place the lifting of locking restrictions in different parts of the country. It is also examined in Scotland. In the photo: Prime Minister today
UK now has more confirmed deaths from COVID-19 – according to backdated statistics from the Office for National Statistics, National Records Scotland and Northern Ireland NISRA – than any other country in Europe
The article says: “For example, future evidence may indicate that there are certain geographies where a differential approach, or different time frames in the same general approach, would be appropriate.
“Assessing the right path to take would take into account broader considerations, including the possibility that any geographic (or sectoral) variation would have an impact on clarity of communication and broader operational considerations, for example regarding relates to localized test measures and travel restrictions in the event of an event. from a geographically varied approach. “
He added that decision makers would listen to the views of people, businesses and organizations affected by any change.
The next stage of the crisis for the Scots will see them describe in more detail the options for change, as indicated above.
He noted that these will be examined taking into account the risk of infection, how they could be best communicated, changes to the law to allow the lifting of certain restrictions and the way in which each can be introduced. effectively.
The document ends by saying that more information on these plans will be available before the next review date, May 28.