Why the “weekend factor” affects reporting numbers of coronaviruses in Europe


the coronavirus trend is still on the decline in most of Europe, but an unwinding of the “weekend effect” seems to ease some of yesterday’s well-being factor.

In short, there seems to be a lag this weekend as death and hospitalization numbers work their way through the system, so Monday’s reports are artificially low, while Tuesday’s figures seem high because they catch up with reality.

So higher numbers in Spain, Belgium and the Netherlands, as they were today in the UK. But at the same time elsewhere, a few temporary steps to facilitate locking.

Spain has reversed four days of declining mortality rates with 743 reported in the past 24 hours, bringing the total to 13,798. The good news is that the trend is still down. The bad news is that Spain now has more deaths per capita than Italy.

Italy always seems to be moving very slowly in the right direction. Deaths dropped slightly yesterday to 604, with new infections down 500, and the number of people admitted to intensive care fell slightly again.

Among these raw figures, some tragic statistics on the balance sheet of medical personnel. Five other Italian doctors have died of the virus in the past 24 hours, bringing the total to 94 dead, a truly horrific figure.

Some 26 nurses also died, and more than 6,500 medical personnel were infected across the country.

Sweden continues to be hit much harder than other Nordic countries, with some indicating their much more flexible lock rules as an explanation.

They reported 114 deaths in the past 24 hours, while the other four Nordic countries combined (Finland, Norway, Denmark, Iceland) had only 35. When the response to this crisis is analyzed in hindsight, the case from Sweden will be examined with particular interest.

France has announced an additional 605 deaths in its hospitals, although this number may be higher when retirement homes are included. This is a recurring problem with statistics reported across Europe: in many countries, including the UK, the daily headlines published only relate to people who died in hospitals, not those who died in nursing homes or home.

A sunny weekend seems to have encouraged too many walkers, joggers and cyclists in the great outdoors of Paris. Starting tomorrow, going out for exercise will be prohibited in the capital between 10 a.m. and 7 p.m.

Greece has seen a protest by doctors demanding more beds in the ICU, more staff, more equipment and the conscription of private clinics to fight the virus. The demonstrators scrupulously respected the rules of social distancing.

Norway has set a date for the first return to school. Nurseries must be allowed to open from April 20 and some schools will reopen from April 27.


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