Professor Carl Heneghan, director of the Center for Evidence-Based Medicine, estimates that infections were at their highest around mid-March – 21 days before the country recorded its worst day of death on April 8.
NHS England reported 803 deaths from coronavirus on April 8, the highest number reported in a single day to date, with deaths appearing to fall in the following days.
The figure is not concrete as it may be updated in the future – and it also only covers deaths in hospitals.
Professor Heneghan has accused the government of listening to bad scientific advice – and urged leaders to lift the lock.
He told Mail Online, “The British government continues to say it uses the best scientific knowledge.
“But he seems to be losing sight of what’s really going on. We receive scientific advice which is always wrong.
“He failed to review all of the data and understand when the peak of infections actually occurred. “
He said infections fell by 50% between March 16 – when the government launched a handwashing and social distancing campaign – and the closure on March 24.
The expert said that the prediction models used by scientists have often proven “in some way” and insisted that the foreclosure would be more damaging to the UK than the coronavirus.
Professor Heneghan cited Sweden as an example of a country that had “kept its cool” by resisting the lockdown and was not suffering from an “apocalyptic scenario”.
He urged the government to reopen the company, warning that the restrictions would have a serious impact on the economy and the mental and physical health of people.
The practicing general practitioner told BBC Radio 4 Today: “The key is that no one has really figured out how many people are actually infected.
“You could do it very quickly with a random sample of a thousand people in London who thought they had the symptoms.
“You could do it in the next couple of days and get a really key handle on this problem and then we would be able to figure out the release of the lockout much more quickly.”
“In fact, the damaging effect of locking will now outweigh the damaging effect of coronavirus. “