The number of coronavirus cases in the United States exceeds 400,000, with more than 12,900 deaths. But future projections are better than expected

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A record 1,858 deaths were reported in a single day Tuesday. And the researchers say the peak has not yet come.

The United States will reach its highest daily death toll Sunday or around Sunday, according to modeling by the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation at the University of Washington in Seattle.

Projections also suggest that the United States will reach its peak in the use of resources – such as hospital beds and ventilators – around or around Saturday.

But there is good news: modeling shows that fewer people will die from coronavirus than expected.

On Tuesday, the IHME estimated that around 82,000 people would die from coronavirus disease in August. On Wednesday, this estimate was lowered to 60,415.

Yet, it is little consolation for the countless bereaved families for loved ones who often die alone in hospitals.

And the actual number of deaths may be higher than we know.

Some deaths from Covid-19 “can be mistakenly classified as deaths from pneumonia in the absence of positive test results,” said the United States Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

The virus disproportionately affects minority groups, and monitoring this data is important in warning the most at risk, said the president of the American Medical Association, Dr. Patrice Harris.

Blood plasma processing and vaccine trials progress

Vaccines usually take years to go public. But officials rush to develop one for Covid-19 as quickly as possible.

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Dr. Anthony Fauci, director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, said it might be possible to have a coronavirus vaccine in 12 to 18 months, but some experts say the timeline is risky.

A vaccine trial administered its first dose last month, and now another vaccine trial has started.

Biotech company Inovio started a phase 1 clinical trial this week and estimates it will be completed by the end of the summer, an Inovio spokesperson told CNN.

“We anticipate early enrollment for this initial study,” said Dr. Pablo Tebas, an infectious disease specialist at the University of Pennsylvania hospital and the study’s principal investigator.

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“There has been tremendous interest in this vaccine among people who want to do what they can to help protect the general public from this pandemic as soon as possible. “

Meanwhile, the U.S. Food and Drug Administration last month accelerated the use of blood plasma for critically ill patients.

This week Jason Garcia – a man who recovered from a coronavirus – learned that his plasma donation had been distributed so that the antibodies he had developed could help another patient do the same.

Garcia said the doctors told him that a patient has improved since then.

Millions of Americans are suddenly unemployed

More than 6.6 million American workers have filed their first week of unemployment benefits because the coronavirus is crippling the economy.

In New York, the state with the most cases and deaths, authorities estimate a loss of $ 10 billion to $ 15 billion in revenue.

Additional unemployment benefits of $ 600 will start to flow this week for the lucky few

“New York State is bankrupt,” Governor Andrew Cuomo said on Tuesday. “I urge you to continue to fight for New York State to ensure that we have the resources we need to continue to lead the fight against Covid-19 and provide the services New Yorkers rely on. “

Tennessee has experienced a “record peak” in unemployment claims of more than 250,000 in the past three weeks, said Governor Bill Lee.

In Oklahoma, about 135,000 residents have applied for unemployment, said the Oklahoma Job Security Commission.

In West Virginia, Governor Jim Justice has declared that an additional $ 600 will be distributed to those who have lost their jobs.

When can students go back to school?

Several states have closed schools for the remainder of this academic year. Now, many parents are wondering if their students can return to class in the fall.

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Fauci said it was too early to tell, but he is optimistic that the country will be in better shape by the next school year.

“I fully expect, although I am humble enough to know that I cannot accurately predict, that by the time we arrive in the fall we will have mastered all of this enough,” he said. .

But reopening schools will likely depend on how quickly coronavirus cases start to decrease and whether the United States can identify those who have or have recovered from the disease, including those who were asymptomatic. .

Knowing who is protected and who is vulnerable will help communities make decisions about classroom use again.

“My optimistic side tells me that we can renew to some extent, but it will be different,” said Fauci. “Remember now, because this (disease) is not going to go away. “

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CNN’s Jacqueline Howard, Ethan Cohen, Ben Tinker, Gina Yu, Laura Ly, Pricilla Alvarez, Jaide Timm-Garcia and Jessica King contributed to this report.

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