Sudden surge in COVID-19 recoveries due to backlog of reports, says Manitoba doctor

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Almost a third of Manitobans known to have COVID-19 have now recovered from the disease, the province’s top doctor said on Wednesday, but cautioned against reading local data as a flattening of the curve .

“If these numbers are reassuring, I would like to dissuade anyone from thinking that,” said Dr. Brent Roussin, the province’s chief public health administrator, on Wednesday.

“We are very early in our epidemic. We expect to see an increase in cases. And so we have to make sure that we are focused. Stay on this physical distance. Stay at home. “

There were 221 known cases of the new coronavirus disease in Manitoba on Wednesday afternoon, less than four weeks after the first case was confirmed on March 12.

Of these, 149 are active cases – which means that patients are still showing symptoms. Three of the COVID-19 patients in Manitoba died.

On Wednesday, Roussin announced that 69 Manitobans who had previously been diagnosed with COVID-19 have recovered from the disease, which means they have been symptomless for two weeks.

(CBC)

The new figure marked a significant jump from previously announced recoveries in the province. Officials said Tuesday afternoon that 21 people had recovered.

The sudden increase in collections only captures a backlog of reports, he warns, not a major change in the situation in the province. Public health in Manitoba generally does not track the number of recoveries, he said.

WATCH | Dr. Brent Roussin advises Manitobans not to read the number of COVID-19 recoveries:

Dr. Brent Roussin warns Manitobans that it is too early to celebrate after announcing that 69 people have recovered from coronavirus disease. 1:20

“The jump in the recovered is a function of time,” he said. “This is usually not a parameter that we are used to reporting, so there was a little delay. “

Data on the trajectory of fatal disease in the province are updated daily. Here is the latest update to the numbers we know about COVID-19 in Manitoba.

Cases

On Wednesday, four new cases of COVID-19 were announced in Manitoba. The announcement followed the addition of 13 new cases on Tuesday and one new case on Monday.

On Wednesday, 12 people were hospitalized with COVID-19, including six people in intensive care. (Jacques Marcoux / CBC)

Twelve people with COVID-19 are hospitalized in Manitoba, including six in intensive care, Wednesday morning, said Roussin. The figures were the same on Tuesday.

Twenty of those confirmed to date are healthcare workers, said Lanette Siragusa, chief nurse at Shared Heatlh, on Wednesday. Half of them work on a single unit at the Health Sciences Center in Winnipeg, she said. Four patients in this unit were also diagnosed.

The total number of probable and laboratory-confirmed cases in Manitoba rose to 221 on Wednesday. (Jacques Marcoux / CBC)

To date, the province has not experienced exponential growth in the disease in other jurisdictions. But Roussin said that does not mean that it cannot or cannot happen here.

The best doctor has long declared that the worst of the pandemic is yet to come.

WATCH | Dr. Brent Roussin says Manitobans must stay the course of social distancing:

The Chief Public Health Officer of Manitoba says he is concerned that the public may become premature on social distance due to the low number of new cases of COVID-19 in recent days. 0:57

“It worries me that Manitobans can interpret this as a time when we can let our guard down, that things are going well, and that is absolutely not the case,” he said.

“I expect many more cases in Manitoba. We cannot interpret this as a flattening of our curve. It is far too early to judge. “

Tests, here and everywhere in Canada

Manitoba completed 14,708 tests for COVID-19 on Wednesday, including 477 tests on Tuesday alone, said Roussin.

Manitoba has completed COVID-19 testing for 14,708 people, including 477 on Tuesday. (Jacques Marcoux / CBC)

Testing in the province remains limited to symptomatic people in certain categories. These include people who have traveled outside of Manitoba in the past 14 days, those who have been in close contact with a confirmed case, health care workers and laboratory workers who have worked with COVID-19 tests.

Symptomatic people living in northern Manitoba, a First Nation, or a remote or isolated community may also be tested, depending on the province, as are people living in a gathering place, such as a shelter or health center long term.

Roussin said Wednesday that the province hopes to extend testing in the coming days.

Access to tests varies across Canada. Manitoba is roughly in the middle of the pack for the ratio of tests completed to population, at 1,037 tests per 100,000 people, according to Tuesday’s figures.

Ontario is at the bottom of the scale, with a ratio of 568 completed tests per 100,000 population. Ontario Premier Doug Ford on Tuesday called the number of tests in the province “unacceptable”.

Canada has 19,291 confirmed cases of COVID-19 on Wednesday afternoon. More than 460 Canadians have died since the start of the pandemic.

Worldwide, nearly 88,000 people have died.

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