Premier League run-in: who would miss the easiest or most difficult break-in if the last nine games were canceled? | Football News


Who will miss essential points - and who will oppose them - in the last nine games of the season?

Who will miss essential points – and who will oppose them – in the last nine games of the season?

Who misses a tough match and curses their luck if the last nine Premier League games are cut?

Most experts, managers and players who have spoken out publicly since the coronavirus epidemic have said they want to see this season come to an end first, with 288 of the 380 Premier League matches of 2019/20 already over – and Liverpool at handy. the trophy for the first time.

They reiterated this approach on Friday and said the goal is to restart the 19/20 season when it is certain.

UEFA President Aleksander Ceferin admitted last week that the European season would be “probably lost” if the pandemic had not dissipated enough by the end of June for the national leagues to restart – although he has since said that it would be a “last resort”.

If that were to happen to this, it leaves the Premier League bosses with a conundrum – how is the season settled? There has been talk of a bigger Bundesliga slated for Germany next season, none of the teams from that season having been relegated, but those from Bundesliga II promotion sites have been included in an exceptional high-flying campaign.

One result that has been raised as a possibility, if completing matches this season is too difficult, even if it rushes over the summer, is to play only two exceptional games – Manchester City vs Arsenal and Aston Villa vs Sheffield United.

This would leave each team having played 29 games, and could then be used to decide the title, European places, relegation and price depending on the position. Something similar has already been planned in Belgium, subject to approval.

But with the nine remaining games for each team different from any other side in the division, some will naturally be more satisfied and others frustrated if that happens. For Newcastle, 13th, this could be an obstacle – they still have five of the last six to play. While the 11th Crystal Palace, which is set to face all six firsts except Manchester City by the end of the season, could breathe a sigh of relief.

The title may be anything but decided – so let’s leave that aside – but the Champions League race always seems to have a lot of twists and turns if the season ends. So what do run-ins say about the odds of runners and runners?

Champions League hopes

As things stand, pending Manchester City’s appeal against their two-season Champions League ban, the top five Premier League teams, except City, will advance to the Champions League. next season. For now, that means Manchester United, fifth, would join Chelsea, Leicester and Liverpool in the competition.

But with only six points between United and Crystal Palace, even ranked 11th, there would be a lot to play in the last nine games of the campaign.

In the third and fourth, the average position of the opponents of Leicester and Chelsea is relatively weak (11.0 and 11.3 respectively) but the Blues still have three of the first six to play, while the men of Brendan Rodgers have only ‘a last day confrontation with Manchester United in the schedule.

United themselves would be confident to return to Europe’s first continental competition – they should only play one of their first six rivals for the rest of the season, and the average position of their remaining opponents is the lowest of all Prime Minister’s teams. League this season, at 12.3.

That said, they have the fifth worst record per game against the bottom half of the table, so Ole Gunnar Solskjaer might prefer the opposite.

The Wolves’ next three scheduled games for the sixth ranked game will face teams in the bottom six, as they face only one of the top six rivals – Chelsea – in their last nine games.

Wolves are about to qualify for the Champions League for the first time since 1959, if the season ends

Wolves are about to qualify for the Champions League for the first time since 1959, if the season ends

Lapping seems the most difficult for Sheffield United. Even if the Blades could move fifth if they had to win their game in hand against Aston Villa, they face what is on paper the most difficult end of the season for any team in the top 10 with a position average of 9.4 and Wolves, Chelsea, Leicester and Manchester United have yet to play – Villa is their only enemy among the last six.

Only Arsenal, ninth, still have as many top six opponents before the season ends, but they also face four of the last six.

Relegation rivals

Of the six teams who will realistically still feel in a relegation battle – thanks to Southampton’s five point cushion in Brighton, 15th, most have a fairly difficult game schedule on the horizon, with Norwich bottom side, single side with less than three of the first six to play.

For Bournemouth, hovering inside the bottom three solely on the goal difference between Watford and West Ham, the entry point seems particularly grim; they have the highest ranked average opponent (8.2) on any side in the division and play four of the top six but none of their relegation rivals.

Eddie Howe has led Bournemouth just seven points from his last 12 games - and things are not easier during the break-in

Eddie Howe has led Bournemouth just seven points from his last 12 games – and things are not easier during the break-in

Things are a little better for Villa, ranked 19th, who could certainly climb to 16th place if she won her match in hand against Sheffield United, but who had four of the first six to play, and only West Ham – the last day – of the teams around them.

Tipping over the drop zone, Watford has a much easier break-in on paper than the two teams below them – their opponents have an average position of 10.1, including big six points against Norwich and West Ham.

But it is the Hammers who would look at the list of matches and feel confident. Although they have three of the first six left, they are fourth, fifth and sixth in Chelsea, Manchester United and Wolves. Games against Villa, Watford and Norwich also give them the lowest average opponent position (11.3) of all the teams in the last six.

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