Graphics and maps showing how the coronavirus spread in Greater Manchester in five weeks


A coronavirus patient dies every 30 minutes in hospitals in Greater Manchester as the deadly toll of the pandemic reaches a terrifying new peak.

Exactly five weeks after the first confirmed death of Covid-19 in the region, the NHS England recorded 505 deaths.

And while it took 23 days for the number of hospital deaths in Greater Manchester to reach 100, the last 100 deaths were announced in just two days.

As of Tuesday, last week, there were a total of 48 deaths from Covid-19 in hospitals in the region in a 24-hour period – the equivalent of one every half hour.

NHS England statistics indicate that this death rate may turn out to have been matched or even exceeded since then.

Data is generally a few days late, and the numbers for the past four days are expected to be revised up when the NHS England releases new updates this week.

Data published daily by the NHS England is dated as each case is processed, so the number of deaths for each day from Wednesday to Saturday is likely to increase with further updates in the coming days. .

NHS statistics also only include patients who died in hospital after a positive coronavirus test. It does not include people infected with Covid-19 who died in the community, at home or in nursing homes.

Of the 505 deaths reported to date, 115 have occurred in hospitals managed by the Manchester University Hospitals Trust, which includes MRI, Wythenshawe Hospital and Trafford General.

On Thursday of last week, the Trust reported 15 deaths in one day, its highest daily total to date, and a figure that could increase if there are more cases to report.

There have been 87 coronavirus deaths in Pennine Acute NHS hospitals, which include North Manchester General, Fairfield Hospital in Bury, Royal Oldham and Rochdale Infirmary.

Pennine also saw a marked increase in the daily number of coronavirus deaths this week, with ten deaths reported on Tuesday April 7 alone.

At NHS hospitals in Greater Manchester, at least 30 deaths were recorded in each of the seven days before and including Good Friday.

There is no public data available to show the age and sex of coronavirus patients who have died in hospitals in Greater Manchester. There is also no information on how many of them had underlying health conditions.

But while there has been a sharp increase in the number of deaths recorded in Greater Manchester, the number of new cases has not followed the same upward trajectory.

Updated figures from NHS England on Sunday show that there have been a total of 231 positive tests reported in Greater Manchester in the 24 hours until 17 hours Saturday.

This means that there have been a total of 3,344 positive tests in the region since the beginning of last month, but the number of tests per day has remained relatively consistent over the past week.

It is unclear whether this is a sign that the government-imposed lockdown is starting to have an effect on the number of new infections in Greater Manchester.

The rate of new infections has apparently stopped increasing in most of the ten boroughs, with the notable exception of Manchester, which has reported 99 new cases in the past two days.

In the past eight days, the number of new cases has more than doubled in Manchester to 611, with only Bolton experiencing a similar rate of increase in the same period.

So far, coronavirus testing has been limited to those admitted to hospital, so the actual number of people infected in Greater Manchester will be much higher than the 3,344 officially counted.

Last month, the government’s chief scientific advisor, Sir Patrick Vallance, confirmed to a health selection committee that the expected mortality rate for Covid-19 is one death per 1,000 cases.

If government modeling was correct, that would mean that more than half a million people in Greater Manchester have now been infected with a coronavirus – almost one in five of the population.


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