People in Alberta and Quebec understood how the COVID-19 epidemic could unfold in these provinces on Tuesday, as experts and health officials presented a series of projections and scenarios on how the virus would spread.
Saskatchewan and Newfoundland are expected to offer coronavirus screenings on Wednesday.
Premier Jason Kenney described what he described as a “likely” scenario for Alberta on Tuesday, which suggested the province would not experience a spike in virus until mid-May. This model suggested that Alberta could see up to 800,000 COVID-19 cases by the end of the summer with death figures ranging from 400 to 3,100. Another “higher” scenario indicated the possibility a higher number of cases and 500 to 6,600 deaths.
Kenney noted that the numbers may seem overwhelming, and was quick to warn that the models are not “a done deal.”
“How many people are infected, how many die, whether we overload our health care system – it all depends on us and our choices. “
WATCH | Quebec presents COVID-19 scenarios:
Quebec also offered modeling information at the request of Prime Minister François Legault, who wanted to share this information publicly despite the concerns of his public health official.
Modeling from Quebec suggests that the province could see between 1,200 and 9,000 deaths by the end of April. Public health officials have noted that current thinking is that the death toll will be closer to the lower estimate.
Ontario released its modeling last week and the federal government has suggested that it will do the same once it has enough information from the provinces, but it was not immediately clear.
Dr. Theresa Tam, Chief Public Health Officer of Canada, has previously noted that projections are used for planning purposes and are not “crystal balls”. Patterns can vary widely, said Tam, and are “very sensitive to our actions,” including measures such as physical distance, self-isolation, and hand washing.
According to a database maintained by Johns Hopkins University in Baltimore, there have been more than 80,000 documented deaths related to COVID-19 worldwide. The new coronavirus appeared for the first time in China, but has since spread to countries around the world, causing both health crises and economic chaos as countries are stranded in an attempt to limit the epidemic.
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The Public Health Agency of Canada, which is monitoring the pandemic, said online Tuesday that although the risk varies from community to community, the “risk to Canadians is considered to be high “
“If we do not level the epidemic curve now, the increase in COVID-19 cases could affect the health care resources available to Canadians,” said the PHAC coronavirus website, which has been updated to include revised guidelines for wearing non-medical masks. to help prevent the spread of COVID-19.
Tam urged people to behave as if COVID-19 was in their community, even though local health officials have not confirmed any cases.
Here’s a snapshot of what’s going on in Canada and around the world.
Here’s what’s happening in the provinces and territories
There were 17,897 confirmed and suspected cases of COVID-19 in Canada at 6:00 a.m.ET Wednesday. The provinces that publish data on patients considered cured had listed 4,054 resolved cases. The CBC News, which records reported deaths, has recorded 421 COVID-19 deaths in Canada, with two known deaths from coronavirus from Canadians abroad. Public health officials have noted that the figures reported do not provide a complete picture as they do not include cases that have not been tested or are still under investigation.
British Columbia reported four more COVID-19 deaths on Tuesday, bringing the total to 43. Dr. Bonnie Henry, provincial health chief, said she was particularly concerned for seniors. “We protect them by connecting securely remotely. »Learn more about what’s going on in British Columbia
Alberta reported 25 new cases on Tuesday, the smallest one-day increase in COVID-19 cases reported in the province in weeks. The province has also announced two more deaths from the new coronavirus, bringing the provincial total to 26. Learn more about what’s going on in Alberta.
Saskatchewan health officials expected to release their own COVID-19 projections Wednesday, as well as information on how the health system is preparing for an expected increase in cases. Learn more about what’s going on in Saskatchewan.
Manitoba reported its third COVID-19 death on Tuesday. The death occurred while Dr. Brent Roussin, the province’s top public health official, said the virus was not yet at its peak. “I think we will see many, many more cases here in Manitoba, but we know that we will continue our efforts and we will intensify our efforts if necessary. Learn more about what’s going on in Manitoba.
In Ontario, public health experts have called for more widespread testing, but data from the provincial health ministry indicates that the province is not meeting its target. Read more from Mike Crawley of CBC on how the province is testing COVID-19.
Quebec health officials worry about COVID-19 in long-term care homes as the number of cases among vulnerable seniors increases. In a long-term care home in Laval, almost half of the residents suffer from coronavirus and eight people have died. Learn more about what’s going on in Quebec.
New Brunswick Premier Blaine Higgs said on Tuesday that he felt “more and more comfortable” the province will have the supplies it needs to respond to COVID-19. Learn more about what’s going on at N.B.
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Nova Scotia reported its first COVID-19 death on Tuesday. Prime Minister Stephen McNeil reiterated his call to people to stay home and keep their distance when they go out, saying, “This virus kills and the only way to kill it is to keep our distance from each other. And for the love of God, stay at home and stop celebrating please, for the good of our province. Learn more about what’s going on in Nova Scotia.
Government of Prince Edward Island awaits news from federal government as to whether the coronavirus will delay the start of the lobster spring season, which was scheduled to open in early May. Learn more about what’s going on on P.E.I.
The Minister of Health for Newfoundland and Labrador is warning people to stay home over the long weekend. “We have to do it right. This weekend, you won’t notice the difference. Next week, you’ll notice it in 10 to 14 days, ”said John Haggie. Learn more about what’s going on at N.L.
The Yukon announced Tuesday that students will no longer have face-to-face lessons this school year. Learn more about what’s going on in Canada’s North, including new mask tips for people in the Northwest Territories.
Here is an overview of what is happening in the United States
From the Associated Press, updated at 6:30 a.m.ET
In the United States, the death toll from the coronavirus outbreak has exceeded 12,900, with nearly 400,000 confirmed infections. Some of the deadliest hotspots were Detroit, New Orleans, and the New York metropolitan area, which includes parts of Long Island, New Jersey, and Connecticut.
In Wisconsin, after a legal battle that reached the state’s Supreme Court, voters were asked to ignore a home order to participate in his presidential primary.
Meanwhile, President Donald Trump has threatened to freeze US funding to the World Health Organization, saying the international group has “missed the call” on the pandemic.
Trump said WHO had “mis-qualified” the virus and the organization was “very China-centric” in its approach, suggesting that it had supported Beijing’s efforts months ago to minimize the severity of the epidemic.
Here’s what’s going on in other hard-hit regions of the world
From the Associated Press and Reuters, updated at 8:20 a.m.ET
Prime Minister Boris Johnson reacts to intensive care treatment at a central London hospital, spokesman told reporters on Wednesday.
“The Prime Minister remains clinically stable and responds to treatment. He continues to be treated in the intensive care unit of St. Thomas Hospital. He is in a good mood. “
Downing Street said on Tuesday that Johnson was receiving standard oxygen therapy and breathing without assistance. The death toll in the country reached 6,159 on Tuesday, an increase of 786 from 24 hours earlier. It was the largest daily jump to date, although the deaths reported on Tuesday occurred over several days.
Spain The daily death toll rose Tuesday for the first time in five days, but there was still hope that the lockdown could be eased as officials worked on a plan to lift some of the restrictions.
In Italy, the hardest hit country with more than 17,000 deaths, authorities have called on people before Easter weekend not to drop their guard and stick to a lockout now in its fifth week, even though new cases have dropped at a level never seen since the beginning of the weeks of the epidemic.
In Germany, the number of daily cases increased for the second consecutive day after four previous decreasing days.
France is expected to extend the lockout for several weeks, said a chief medical adviser after becoming the fourth country to register more than 10,000 deaths. A French military ship returns to port after certain personnel on board have shown signs of COVID-19 symptoms.
the Chinese city of Wuhan ended its two-month lockdown, even as a small town in the north ordered residents to be restrained amid concerns over a second wave of infections.
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Indian financial center Mumbai is expected to extend the lockout until at least April 30 as authorities rush to expand testing.
Commuters piled up on trains in the Japanese capital Wednesday, the first day of the state of emergency, with some expressing confusion over the best way to restrict their movements.
South Korea The government announced on Wednesday that it would increase restrictions on people traveling abroad to prevent new coronavirus infections, and announced new stimulus packages for exporters affected by the epidemic. South Korea will temporarily suspend the visa waiver for citizens of countries that have imposed travel bans on South Koreans, said Prime Minister Chung Sye-kyun.
Singapore announced new measures to speed up local food production, including a plan to transform the roofs of parking lots in public housing estates into urban farms. Hong Kong extended physical restrictions, including the closure of certain bars and pubs and the ban on public gatherings of more than four people, until April 23.
Iranian President Hassan Rouhani On Wednesday, the country attempted to fight the worst epidemic of coronavirus in the Middle East, saying the fund would be discriminated against if it withheld the money. Iran has banned long distance travel and closed non-essential businesses to fight an epidemic which, according to official figures, has killed 4,003 people and infected 67,286 people.
Saudi Arabia The health minister said the virus could potentially infect between 10,000 and 200,000 people in the country.
South Africa The Minister of Health said that 66 people in a single hospital in Durban have tested positive for coronavirus in the past few days, including 48 staff. Zweli Mkhize said authorities are considering closing parts of the St. Augustine hospital.
The minister said that less than 100 people across the country are currently hospitalized with the virus. He also sought to reassure anxious health workers after a union lodged a complaint about the shortage of protective equipment, saying that supplies to South Africa should last up to eight weeks. South Africa has the most confirmed cases in Africa with more than 1,700.
WHO, which has expressed concern for months about the impact of the virus on countries with limited resources and weaker health infrastructure, said that there were more than 10,000 confirmed cases of coronavirus in Africa.
When the virus first appeared in Africa, the cases were mainly located in large cities.
“Its spread beyond major cities means the opening of a new front in our fight against this virus,” said Dr Matshidiso Moeti, regional director of the World Health Organization for Africa, on Wednesday. “This requires a decentralized response, adapted to the local context. “
WHO has called on the international community to provide financial and technical support as African countries step up their response.