Coronavirus: America is set to enter a defining week in its history | US News

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The coming week could be a defining moment for America. Slowly entering the crisis, it is now recording figures that eclipse any other nation.

Latest death toll rises to over 9,000 – more than the continent China – and the number of confirmed cases exceeds 311,000, or almost a quarter of the world total.

Any graph you study draws a steep line that always goes up – not only is it too early to see the effects of social distancing in the hardest hit cities, like New York, but some states haven’t even bothered to impose such restrictions. This could turn out to be a serious mistake.

same Donald trump, who throughout this crisis has so often pushed back the worst scenarios, seems to understand what is coming: “Unfortunately there will be a lot of deaths,” he said solemnly. during the weekend.



President Donald Trump reacts to a question during the daily briefing of the Coronavirus task force at the White House in Washington, United States, on April 4, 2020

Trump: there will be many deaths

It’s not just him – his team is now preparing the country for the worst.

During a political show on Sunday, the American Surgeon General predicted that the coming week would be “our time in Pearl Harbor, our time in September 11,” and Dr. Tony Fauci, still calm and impressive, told the Americans to “just buckle up” because the next few weeks would be “shocking”.

Less than a fortnight ago, the President confidently boasted of reopening the US economy by Easter. Instead, this holiday weekend could prove to be the pinnacle of this very crisis, certainly for New York.

WASHINGTON, DC - April 04: Dr. Anthony Fauci, director of the National Institute of Allergies and Infectious Diseases speaks during a press conference with members of the White House Coronavirus task force on 4 April 2020 in Washington, DC. On Friday, the CDC issued a recommendation that all Americans should wear masks or cloth blankets in public places to slow the spread of the coronavirus (COVID-19). (Photo by Sarah Silbiger / Getty Images)
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Dr Anthony Fauci warned of high death toll

Trump is getting impatient and it’s no wonder.

Unemployment figures were staggering last week: 6.6 million new applicants, bringing the total to more than 10 million. Five years of record employment have disappeared in a short fortnight.

Trump says the economy will “explode” when it is all over, but few economists agree with him. On the contrary, it will get considerably worse before it gets better, and in every way.



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New York morgue workers “exhausted”

The White House, often the provider of questionable optimism throughout this crisis, concedes that it will do well to keep the death toll below 100,000. Even if it succeeds, it will nevertheless be a loss of life truly devastating for this country, on a much larger scale than even the Vietnam War.

The economic effects will outlast the virus itself. Modeling by the Federal Reserve Bank of Saint-Louis estimates job losses at 47 million, or 32.1% of the job market.

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If you think these numbers are dramatic and fanciful, just consider that no economist expected last week’s unemployment figures to be as high as they were – the reality was worse than the worst of forecasts.

America is sailing in unexplored waters, led by a man whose hopes for a second term rest on a strong economy.

There is a glimmer of hope that the downturn, although brutal, could also be quite short. Growth could return by the fourth quarter of this year, just when Trump hopes to be re-elected, but by then, the societal damage and political consequences of the coronavirus could be incalculable.

It is too early to start looking for light at the end of this tunnel because the next fortnight could be very dark indeed.

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